The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, experienced a sharp 5.38% decline in pre-market trading on Monday, as investors grapple with growing concerns over the Trump administration's aggressive tariff policies and their potential impact on the U.S. economy.
The plunge comes in the wake of a tumultuous week for the markets, with major indices experiencing their largest weekly percentage drops since the start of the pandemic in March 2020. The selloff intensified after China introduced retaliatory measures to U.S. tariffs, pushing the S&P 500 closer to bear market territory and the Nasdaq 100 already well into it.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's recent comments on NBC's "Meet the Press" have done little to calm market fears. Bessent dismissed recession worries and vowed to "hold the course" on tariffs, revealing that over 50 countries are seeking to negotiate better deals. However, he warned that quick resolutions are unlikely due to decades of "bad behavior" towards the U.S.
The market's severe reaction has caught the attention of prominent figures in the financial world. Billionaire investor Bill Ackman urged a "90-day timeout" on some of the tariffs, warning of an "economic nuclear winter" if the administration proceeds with its current plan. Former Clinton administration Treasury Secretary Larry Summers called the tariff plan "the biggest self-inflicted wound we've put on our economy in history" and warned of potential trouble ahead.
As the pre-market plunge in QQQ indicates, investors are increasingly concerned about the potential for inflation, slower growth, and the possibility of a recession. The absence of a perceived "Trump put" or "Fed put" could trigger a swift and significant market downturn, according to some analysts. With the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates remaining uncertain, markets are pricing in a 48.4% likelihood of the Fed easing current rates in its May meeting, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
As trading opens for the week, all eyes will be on how the market responds to these mounting pressures and whether the administration will adjust its stance on tariffs in light of the market's reaction.
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