摩根士丹利：若执政党失利，30年期日债收益率或升至3.2%

格隆汇APP

07-14

格隆汇7月14日｜摩根士丹利三菱日联研究部分析师Hirou Uezato和Koichi Sugisaki表示，如果日本现任执政党在选举中赢得多数席位，相对温和的财政刺激措施的前景可能会将30年期日本国债收益率推低至2.90%左右。如果执政党未能获得多数席位，大规模财政刺激的前景可能会将30年期日本国债收益率推高至3.2%。他们表示，在5月市场恶化后，超长期日本国债暂时恢复了稳定，但在7月初30年期日本国债拍卖后，疲软的供需态势重新浮现，导致期限溢价上升。在结构性供需疲软的背景下，投资者仍然非常担心日本财政纪律面临的风险。

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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2025-07-14/doc-inffmpnp6515942.shtml><strong>格隆汇APP</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇7月14日｜摩根士丹利三菱日联研究部分析师Hirou Uezato和Koichi Sugisaki表示，如果日本现任执政党在选举中赢得多数席位，相对温和的财政刺激措施的前景可能会将30年期日本国债收益率推低至2.90%左右。如果执政党未能获得多数席位，大规模财政刺激的前景可能会将30年期日本国债收益率推高至3.2%。他们表示，在5月市场恶化后，超长期日本国债暂时恢复了稳定，但在7月初30年期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2025-07-14/doc-inffmpnp6515942.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0158827948.USD","symbol_name":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"A\" (USD) 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