Assessing JBS (NYSE:JBS) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.

Feb 16

AdvertisementWhat JBS stock’s recent move might be telling you JBS (NYSE:JBS) has attracted fresh attention after a recent share price move, with the stock up about 1.1% over the past week and roughly...

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See our latest analysis for JBS. The recent 30 day share price return of 9.1% and 90 day return of 15.4% suggest building momentum for JBS, with the current share price at $16.0 anchoring those shorter term moves. If this has you thinking about where else momentum could be forming, now is a good moment to scan our 23 top founder-led companies and see what stands out. With JBS trading at $16.0 against an analyst price target of about $20.74 and an indicated intrinsic discount of roughly 80%, you have to ask: is this a genuine value gap, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 20.2% Undervalued JBS’s most followed narrative pegs fair value at about $20.04, compared with the recent $16.00 share price, which is what gives this move its context.  Geographic diversification across the U.S., Brazil and Australia, combined with counter cyclical cattle and livestock cycles between these regions, is reducing earnings volatility. This should justify higher valuation multiples as return on equity and return on invested capital remain elevated.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what sits behind that valuation gap? The narrative leans heavily on steady revenue growth, stable margins and a future earnings multiple that still trails sector levels. On top of that, the same narrative applies a discount rate of about 7.1% to bring those future cash flows and earnings back to today, which is how it arrives at a fair value near $20.04. In that framework, analysts are assuming modest growth, profit margins holding their ground and a higher P/E multiple in a few years than the one implied at $16.00 today. Result: Fair Value of $20.04 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still pressure points to watch, including tight U.S. cattle supply affecting beef margins and higher working capital needs that could strain cash generation. Find out about the key risks to this JBS narrative.  Build Your Own JBS Narrative If you are not fully on board with this view or prefer to test the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh narrative in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your JBS research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If JBS has caught your attention, do not stop your research here. The widest opportunities often sit just outside the first stock that triggered your interest.  Target value opportunities by scanning our 53 high quality undervalued stocks and see which companies currently line up with strong fundamentals and a gap between price and underlying metrics. Prioritise resilience and support more consistent sleep at night by reviewing our 84 resilient stocks with low risk scores, focused on businesses with lower measured risk profiles. Spot lesser known opportunities early by checking the screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems, where companies with solid fundamentals are not yet widely followed.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}